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Villager Senior
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Posts: 1,765
Join Date: Jan 2008
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07-06-08, 12:20 AM
@Taysense-The 20% number may have been higher than in some other states, but it wasn’t THAT much higher. Furthermore, like I said, whites in Southern states are just less likely to lie about race matters when speaking to pollsters than whites in other places…
I don’t disagree that WV or KY in and of themselves are NOT necessary for a win (places with large pockets of very similar demographics ARE though). My point was, it’s not just those states where he is struggling with the demographic we are speaking of. Pennsylvania and Ohio have the same kinds of folks in them, that is why he lost. He didn’t lose as badly because Pennsylvania and Ohio have sizeable enough Black populations to offset the other numbers, KY and WV don’t. You’re right about Kerry and Gore losing the states you mentioned, and losing the demographic we’re speaking of in general….and they LOST their respective general elections as I recall. That was my point. It wasn’t about race when they lost and it won’t necessarily be about it if he doesn’t get that demographic to support him.
There are people in all states struggling, but some states have more than their share of struggling people, and KY and WV are such places. So is Ohio right now, and so is Michigan and so are certain parts of Pennsylvania, and the same voting pattern emerged in those places(Clinton getting more support). Again, it is only because those places have large numbers of AA’s that he didn’t lose worse than he did………
I have no intention of getting on any train,lol. I’ve typed at great length about why I’m not voting for dude, it’s nothing personal. My mind is made up about that. A friend of mine asked me if I’d change my mind if he put Hillary on the ticket. My answer is NO. I don’t’ come to decisions lightly but once I do, it’s a done deal. My not voting for him is not contingent on whether I think he will or won’t win. It’s irrelevant to me. I’m not a bandwagon type person. He may well win,(though I’m inclined to think he won’t), but it won’t be with MY assistance. Bill Clinton won in spite of me not voting for him. I neither contemplated suicide nor regretted my choice because of it,lol. As a matter of fact, it took some years, but I got the last laugh because I got to see all of the Negroes who voted for him, turn on him like rabid dogs,lol, and act totally new in reference to him. So it goes……
@Meknow-I take issue with the comments about Jackson and Sharpton. It’s one of the reasons I didn’t like the narrative of Obama’s campaign from the jump. This idea that Jackson and Sharpton were these inarticulate clowns and that we never had serious or credible candidates til this uniquely intelligent and articulate Black person named Obama hit the scene. It’s insulting on it’s face,(not to mention untrue), but like most things during this election that fact has gone right over most Negroes head. BTW, Jesse Jackson won 11 primaries and garnered 12 million votes,(Obama and Clinton garnered 5 million more each, but 12 million ain’t nothing to sneeze at….). I documented this in some thread on this Board about a year ago…..but ya’ll can look it up of you doubt that I know what I’m talking about. 12 million people took him seriously, quite a few of them WHITE people, who felt his POPULIST message. Most folks don’t know that cause they are too busy accepting what the white media regurgitates about Jackson and Sharpton, but I digress. Furthermore, Jackson didn’t have to do any bending over,(hiding out from Negroes, etc) to get the white votes he DID get. How ya’ll like them apples????? Obama has stated and written in one of his books, I believe, that it was seeing JACKSON give a speech during the 88 campaign that FIRST made him think that HE might be able to become Prez.
"I ain't scared of u mutherphuggers"-Bernie Mack
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Villager Senior
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Posts: 1,765
Join Date: Jan 2008
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07-06-08, 03:04 PM
I found my post on Jackson's run. I was off on the popular vote number in my recent post. He won 7 million votes, not 12 million. He won 1200 delegates,(got those 2 things transposed in my mind. Jackson won 14 percent of the WV vote even among racist crackerized backwoods WV folks,btw. My point was, that there are plenty of white male candidates that ran during the 88 campaign and during THIS primary and were not able to put up the numbers that Jackson put up. They would have loved to have garnered 7 million votes or win 12 primaries, or amass 1200+ delegates but they couldn't. Yet no one says Joe Biden or Mike Gravel didnt run SERIOUS or credible campaigns. Jackson also won an all white state in Vermont since Negroes like to shout hallelujah over that type of thing.....As I said before, he did all of this without turning his back on who he was or kowtowing to white people's fears and prejudices about Black folks and he did it on a shoestring budget without the white media on his dick, to boot.
We disrespect and devalue our OWN sh*t and our own folks in an effort to "legitimize ourselves to other people and I find it despicable and lacking in dignity.
He captured 7 million votes and won 11 contests; seven primaries (Alabama, the District of Columbia, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, Puerto Rico and Virginia) and four caucuses (Delaware, Michigan, South Carolina and Vermont).[14]. Jackson also scored March victories in Alaska's caucuses and Texas's local conventions, despite losing the Texas primary.[1] [2] Some news accounts credit him with 13 wins. [3] Briefly, after he won 55% of the vote in the Michigan Democratic caucus, he was considered the frontrunner for the nomination, as he surpassed all the other candidates in total number of pledged delegates.
"I ain't scared of u mutherphuggers"-Bernie Mack
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Villager Senior
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Posts: 1,250
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: , ,
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07-06-08, 08:49 PM
gmahogony
Ok, looking at working class vote that obama struggled with. Why is it he's not doing so well with them? when on paper he's stronger than either clinton or Mccain on issues that this demographic favors. Mccain and clinton are both pro-nafta which a lot of people in ohio/pensylvania blame for loosing manufacturing jobs. Obama's views are at least nuanced when it comes to nafta. And McCain/republicans are responsible for the poor economic situation these people find themselves in. It just seems a lot of those people don't vote based on who'll help them get through their economic woes. But instead vote based on petty issues.
I think what the republicans do better than the democrats is they know how to manipulate voters and they treat them like children especially these appalachian and working class white voters, clinton also ran a republican like campaign full of pandering while not really helping these economically troubled people and that's the reason why she did better with the less educated crowd. Obama has established himself as a different kind of candidate and I suppose that's a gamble he's taking, but I don't think a populist campaign would work for him anyways.
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Villager Senior
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Posts: 3,329
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Washington DC, , USA
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08-06-08, 12:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adrianerik
You're being "anti" "anti" without reasoning. In the South it's called being contrary.
It would be a good idea to look a a RED STATE - BLUE STATE map of the last two presidential elections, 2000 and 2004 and remember that, in both, only ONE state was the difference in the results.
In 2000, it was Florida.
In 2004, it was Ohio.
Kentucky and West Virginia are icing on the cake...not necessities. The democrats need Ohio and/or Florida.
They are very likely to steal North Carolina.
And possibly...Mississippi. And if Al Gore (from Tennessee) is promised a post dealing with the environment, the Democrats will most likely win Tennessee, also.
Obama's ability to mix it up with 'racist' rural whites in Pennsylvania and reduce his disadvantage from 20% to 6% means, that in all likelihood, the Democrats will not lose these labor union areas (Pa, New Jersey, Illinois, etc). The economy is killing these folks and McCain and the Republicans do not have an economic plan.
The very fact that Obama has put so many Republican states into contention is a plus. The question is whether hard-core liberal and union states (New Jersey, PA, OHIO, etc) are going to react so much to the idea of a black president that they would swing Republican.
Possible, not probable. With their stance on immigration dividing the party and their mis-calculation on Iraq (76 of those kids dying and losing their limbs, eyes, their minds, etc are young white boys), the Republicans are more in danger of losing much more of their hard-core states than the democrats.
The elections is the Democrat's to reel in...to lose.
Several things could turn things around.
1) a strong negative reaction to the Vice Presidential candidate.
2) huge errors by Obama in the upcoming debates
3) a dramatic capture of Osama Bin Laden
Sooner or later, some white girl is going to pop up (around two weeks before the election, swearing that she had sex with Obama while he was married AND/OR they will discover some relative who said that white folks were all 'crackers')
That's what the Republicans do. (Jesse Helms, George Bush Sr, the swift boat debacle, etc)
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Excellent points that you've brought up.I live in Virginia and the GOP is so unorgnaized here that Obama could very well win in the general.
As for Obama losing.Remeber the Michelle Obama "whity" tape which was proven false.
Another scenerio is the US invadoing Iran and the usual flag waving atmosphere riegning supreme.
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Villager Senior
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Posts: 1,330
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Shreveport, Louisiana
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08-06-08, 02:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DtotheJ
you can't be serious
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Had colin powell not gotten screwed with bhus he would have been a candidate that whites would have voted for.
you can not seriously think that something has happened all of a sudden where race issues have changed do you. the time is right, the candidate had not appeared. they are picking obama and he started out a scam without a message.
you really don't give us black folk much credit do you.
If folk who do not have anything to say would refrain from saying it, this would be a better world... J.V.McGee
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BNV Managing Editor
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Posts: 7,781
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: , , United Kingdom
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08-06-08, 02:19 PM
Think outside of the box...Think in spirit
Act as if it were impossible to fail!!!
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Villager Senior
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Posts: 1,765
Join Date: Jan 2008
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10-06-08, 12:25 AM
@Taysense
Both candidates have nuanced views on NAFTA because they HAVE to. People in Ohio hate NAFTA, while people in some parts of Texas love it. None of the candidates were talking that anti-Nafta stuff when they were in certain parts of Texas, cause it is popular in those places. NAFTA was beneficial in some places and catastrophic in others. Hillary was of the opinion that it needed to be made fairer, and that it needed to be re-hauled. She had qualms about it even when her husband first proposed it, but eventually got on board with it. Obama has been more consistently against it, but of course he didn’t have to take a position on it back in the 90’s. Beyond that, some Canadian official sent a memo stating that Obama’s point person on the matter, gave him the old nod and wink routine(we’ll bash Nafta in public, but don’t’ worry we’re not really going to get rid of it), remember that was in the news, for a brief moment. So, all told, the pickings were pretty slim on that topic for anyone who is totally against it. All of the candidates “have sh*t with them” as they say, on that topic. I’d say it was a wash….
"I ain't scared of u mutherphuggers"-Bernie Mack
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Villager Senior
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Posts: 1,915
Join Date: May 2006
Location: , , USA
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10-06-08, 07:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Taysense
gmahogony
Ok, looking at working class vote that obama struggled with. Why is it he's not doing so well with them? when on paper he's stronger than either clinton or Mccain on issues that this demographic favors. Mccain and clinton are both pro-nafta which a lot of people in ohio/pensylvania blame for loosing manufacturing jobs. Obama's views are at least nuanced when it comes to nafta. And McCain/republicans are responsible for the poor economic situation these people find themselves in. It just seems a lot of those people don't vote based on who'll help them get through their economic woes. But instead vote based on petty issues.
I think what the republicans do better than the democrats is they know how to manipulate voters and they treat them like children especially these appalachian and working class white voters, clinton also ran a republican like campaign full of pandering while not really helping these economically troubled people and that's the reason why she did better with the less educated crowd. Obama has established himself as a different kind of candidate and I suppose that's a gamble he's taking, but I don't think a populist campaign would work for him anyways.
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But older working class "Whites" and "White" women were never going to come over to the campaign anyway. For decades, even centuries, poor "Whites" have been manipulated by race. The are tricked into voting against their own interests. . .and the blame is tossed at "Black" folk. Neo-cons exploit these views. Neo-con are not only the new conservatives, many Democrats ascribe to these same views also.
Obama will lose these demographics easily. But he can make inroads into "White" community by appealing to the more educated and wealthy. He also unstoppable when it comes to the youth vote. This is not enough to win. He must find votes in the Latino Community and out of all the swing demographics, that is the group that I think he has the highest chance of winning. He can win it 65/35, if he devotes the resources. But he cannot waste time courting "Whites" who only see him as a "Black" militant. Sheesh. . .you can barely find one that doesn't think he is a Muslim.
So he can look at the Latino Community, even the Asian Community. But he shouldn't worry too much about that poor older "White" demographic. That is will McCain will get some votes.
“If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning.
http://www.covenantwithblackamerica.com
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 For All the Euphoria, Obama May Not Deliver |
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Villager Senior
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Posts: 1,488
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Houston, Texas
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For All the Euphoria, Obama May Not Deliver -
10-06-08, 10:31 PM
Prepare to Get Dissappointed by President Barack Obama: Obama-mania sweeps Africa, but could he deliver?
Andrew Cawthorne | Nairobi, Kenya
Obama-mania sweeps Africa, but could he deliver? : Mail & Guardian Online
In Kenya, they name babies after him and quaff "Senator" brand beer in his honour. Global TV networks camp outside his grandmother's rural home. In Uganda, a town has renamed a street Obama Boulevard. And in Nigeria, militants even called a brief ceasefire in praise of the United States Democratic presidential nominee. "Obama-mania" has been sweeping through Africa all year, but the euphoria hit new heights when he clinched his party's ticket last week to run for the US presidency in November. The positive symbolism of seeing a man with an African father nearing the world's most powerful position is obvious. "The fact today whites can choose a black man as their candidate is a mental revolution in the United States," Senegal's President Abdoulaye Wade noted. But beyond the feel-good factor, there are doubts as to whether Barack Obama could bring tangible benefits to Africa if he enters the White House. Millions on the world's poorest continent hope the Illinois senator can deliver on aid, trade and heavyweight political support. But many are also warning against over-expectations.
For a start -- obviously -- he may not actually win. "All this celebration could be premature ... his presidency is not a done deal yet," Kenya's Daily Nation newspaper reminded a nation exulting at his nomination. Obama's late father was Kenyan, and on a trip here two years ago he was feted like a rock star. But apart from visits to his ancestral roots, Obama does not have a particularly strong track record of interest in Africa, analysts say.
'Prepare to be disappointed'
So being black and having a Kenyan dad are no guarantee he will hoist Africa up Washington's list of global priorities. Like others, Ugandan columnist Timothy Kalyegira took note of Obama's decision to make his first post-victory speech to a pro-Israel lobby group rather than "adoring" black Americans. That, he said, "should open the eyes of those who imagine that Obama is going to advance black interests or those of Africa ... Prepare to be greatly disappointed by Obama." Few realistically expect Africa to compete successfully with issues like Iraq, China and the Middle East be it Obama, or Republican candidate John McCain, who takes the White House. Richard Dowden, director of the London-based Royal African Society, predicted "business as usual" from Washington towards Africa even if Obama wins. Recent policy on Africa has been dominated by counter-terrorism, oil supply and humanitarian aid.
"Obama's rise has obviously given Africa more self-confidence, which is great," Dowden said. "But it is not as if he has any particular knowledge of Africa or great contacts. "Remember too that he backed the Farm Bill which was very damaging to African trade interests, whereas McCain did not." And while Africans are used to leaders who wield huge individual clout in their nations, a US president has plenty of checks and balances despite leading the global superpower. "Because of the history of big-manism in Africa, Africans think of presidents as omnipotent, omniscient and omnipresent ... In contrast, the American presidency is a highly circumscribed office," Kenyan columnist Makau Mutua said. "Obama may change the pigmentation and racial identity of the person of the president. But does that mean anything? ... Africans and black people the world over must curb their enthusiasm about what an Obama presidency can do for them."
Clinton vs Bush
Obama's fellow Democrat Bill Clinton was massively backed by black voters and even dubbed by some an honourary "African-American", but his legacy to Africa is ambiguous. Some might say it is most remembered for the failure to stop Rwanda's genocide, and an ignominious military exit from Somalia. Despite being less popular globally, President George Bush received some acclaim on his recent trip to Africa, particularly for US funding to fight HIV/Aids. "Let it not be forgotten that it is he [Bush] who appointed the first black secretary of state. It is also he who has been putting pressure on dictators in the world, especially in Africa and Asia," Kenyan resident Harrison Ikunda wrote in one of a stream of letters to newspapers debating the Obama phenomenon. "A warning shot to Africa: Obama may be good for Africa, but first and foremost he is an American. He is unlikely to jeopardise American interests to pursue others."
While the debate is almost always cast in terms of what Obama might do for Africa, a major investment push by China and others on the continent has Washington worried.
And there, resource-rich Africa has influence.
"Africa is receiving concerted interest from other powers, including China, India, and Japan," said Mark Schroeder, of US think tank Stratfor. "Africa will not give a free pass to Obama, despite the heritage and symbolism, and risk losing out on billions of dollars worth of competing investments." Despite such caveats, nothing can deny Africans a moment of glory in Obama successes so far. From his grandmother's village in western Kenya to the fan clubs sprouting all over Africa, the cheers are loud and long. "We are elated, he's one of us!" cousin Moses Obama told Reuters in another long day of interviews at Kogelo village. "When he eventually succeeds, his joy will be our joy." – Reuters 2008
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Last edited by Vubundada_Kandaba; 10-06-08 at 10:35 PM.
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Villager
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Posts: 120
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Bahia, Brazil/Philly
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11-06-08, 12:49 AM
Typical of so many articles coming out of America and Europe, from black and white, one can read this entire article (which I did) and have no clue whatsoever as what exactly AFRICANS consider the African to be.
The essential thrust of the article is (in my words) Obama is prepared to give that inexact, undefined, non-agenda thing that we want.
Why aren't articles from Africa and from the Disapora more exact in defining the African/African Disaporan agenda?
Then these types of articles can be more exact in how (or how not!) America, or the West, or any other part of the world fits into that agenda.
We know what the West did! That dominates most analysis. I was chastised once by a professor who claimed, correctly, that my thesis spent 80% of the time talking about past errors and no forward thinking analytical committment to proposed soulutions.
Regarding the reference to Somalia and Rwanda. I was very active with a particular group during that time and so much of America's missteps during that time was due to African waffling.
During Somalia, Bill Clinton fought a Republican controlled congress to aid Somalia. They refused. American nuclear submarines, which can spot a bicycle lifting into the ari from 1500 miles away control that control. There is no military need for Somalia. Bill Clinton was being pushed by Randall Robinson (TransWorld Africa) and the Congressional Black Caucus to help Somalia. The country was dying of hunger, with estimates that a million would die.
The U.S. sent massive shipments of food. But more food was being eaten at the docks by the rats than people because warlords controlled the routes that allowed the food to be carried to the people. Without Republican approval, Clinton demanded that the United Nations send in troops to ensure that the food be distributed to the people. The United Nations sent in a contingent of MUSLIM troops who they felt would be respected by the Somalians. The Africans waffled and sent few to none. The Somalians massacred 29 Muslim peacekeepers. Also, on U.S television, a reporter showed a Somalian child who literally laid down and died in front of the television cameras.
It was only, under that public outcry that Bill Clinton, challenging the Republicans, used executive privilege, to send in a limited number of troops to guard the supply routes for the food. Many warlords allowed safe passage for the food but one controlled the major route from the port. So the majority of the food still rotted at the docks. Ill-conceived or not, the raid upon that warlord's area was based upon opening up a supply route for food that no other nation seemed to want to get involved in.
After the killing and humiliation of so many American soldiers the papers were full of Africans cheering in other countries at this Somalian 'victory'.
Several years later, with Clinton still in office, came the Rwanda reports. From liberal Democrats and conservative Republicans the mood was that NOT ONE American troop would be sent to solve a problem that should be solved by Africans. Many knew of the worsening situation but people were asking, how will the Africans act if these Americans actually have to shoot these Hutsis.
The United States demanded that Africa compile a force to send to that area and stayed out of it, despite the fact that U.S. logistics would have been quicker and more effective.
All to say, that the first step to independence is to do that which we have the power t | |